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US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Stan Wawrinka

Sports→Settlement: Matteo BerrettiniLiquidity: $213.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $322.0KEvent: US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Stan Wawrinka
100.0¢
Matteo Berrettini payout
0.0¢
Stan Wawrinka payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:88 trades$88.0K trackedsource coverage 27%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 57 min agoofficial metadata 29 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Matteo Berrettini · $30.8K net·8 wallets·$33.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMatteo Berrettini$8.5K@ 97¢·flatbarrel

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Matteo Berrettini. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-06 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Berrettini and Stan Wawrinka in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Berrettini' if Matteo Berrettini advances against Stan Wawrinka. This market will resolve to 'Stan Wawrinka' if Stan Wawrinka advances against Matteo Berrettini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Matteo Berrettini UP 3.5pp · near-book depth $123.4K → $66.4K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Matteo Berrettini; negative values favor Stan Wawrinka. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMatteo Berrettini · $12.2K
6hMatteo Berrettini · $31.1K
24hMatteo Berrettini · $45.6K

Matteo Berrettini price VWAP

Volume-weighted Matteo Berrettini price. Stan Wawrinka fills are converted to the complementary Matteo Berrettini probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h83.9¢▲ above by 16.1pp
VWAP 7d83.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Matteo Berrettini price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$15.3K
90¢
$14.3K
85¢
$8.4K
80¢
$16.5K
75¢
$8.7K
70¢
$18.7K
65¢
$6.1K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Matteo Berrettini$14.0K
BUY VWAP 72.3¢·6 fills
0xwiseStan Wawrinka$10.9K
BUY VWAP 22.3¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.