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Set Handicap: Atmane (-2.5) vs Munar (+2.5)

● quote 9 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $132.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $71.4KEvent: US Open ATP: Jaume Munar vs Terence Atmane
0.1¢
Atmane
100.0¢
Munar
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection52Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%
24h sample:15 trades$61.6K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 86%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 54 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMunar$19.9K@ 99¢·pelik

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Munar pressure: $31.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$31.8K
6h
−$61.6K
tracked
$61.6K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 9 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 54 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Munar or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-06 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Atmane" if Terence Atmane wins by 3 or more sets than Jaume Munar, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Munar."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Terence Atmane can no longer win by 3 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Munar."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Terence Atmane and Jaume Munar in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Atmane" if Terence Atmane wins by 3 or more sets than Jaume Munar, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Munar." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Terence Atmane can no longer win by 3 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Munar." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
pelik2 linked markets · $107.8K gross
RoshanMVP2 linked markets · $89.7K gross
SharkVision2 linked markets · $6.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.climax

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Atmane; negative values favor Munar. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMunar · $31.8K
6hMunar · $61.6K
24hMunar · $61.6K

Atmane price VWAP

Volume-weighted Atmane price. Munar fills are converted to the complementary Atmane probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h1.2¢▼ below by 1.2pp
VWAP 7d1.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Atmane price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$61.6K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMunar$19.9K@ 99.4¢
pelik0x6a88…b859
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

pelikMunar$26.9K
BUY VWAP 99.6¢·3 fills
RoshanMVPMunar$25.5K
BUY VWAP 98.0¢·10 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.