PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $42.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $171.9KEvent: Azerbaijan Grand Prix: Driver Winner
3.5¢
YES
96.5¢
NO
1.5¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection48Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets81Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution88Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority75Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 81%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:59 trades$39.0K trackedsource coverage 23%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO · $84 net·3 wallets·$103 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNO$6.8K@ 88¢·Radoslawuss

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW NO SETUP
What the tape says

NO pressure: $18.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$18.8K
6h
−$27.7K
tracked
$39.0K

3 verified profitable wallets: NO · $84 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.5¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 81% · priority 75

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-03 11:00 UTC
Event constraint
Mutually exclusive
Resolution source: https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races
Outcome meaning

•If the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 3, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Read full resolution rules

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 26, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 3, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
merod2 linked markets · $149 gross
0x66e7…8bcd2 linked markets · $48 gross
StephenCurrry2 linked markets · $28 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: NO UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $1.6K → $3.7K · 8s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.climax

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNO · $18.8K
6hNO · $27.7K
24hNO · $29.0K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current3.5¢
VWAP 24h9.4¢▼ below by 6.0pp
VWAP 7d9.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$1.7K
10¢
$20.0K
5¢
$14.5K
0¢
← now
$2.8K

VPOC = 10¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?
83.0¢$76.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?
7.4¢$75.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$1.2Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valorant: Global Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B
0.1¢$574.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Singapore Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Maja Chwalinska
97.5¢$490.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
22.5¢$476.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?
44.5¢$458.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.