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Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner

Sports→Settlement: G2Liquidity: $3.0MOfficial 24h Vol: $716.1KEvent: Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
100.0¢
G2 payout
0.0¢
Natus Vincere payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:232 trades$298.4K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 54 min agoofficial metadata 43 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Natus Vincere · $13.9K net·19 wallets(1🐋)·$92.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNatus Vincere$19.8K@ 50¢·StasPanda

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome G2. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-30 15:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win Map 2 against Natus Vincere.

•This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 2 against G2.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal 2 match between G2 and Natus Vincere in the BLAST Open Porto Group A, initially scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win Map 2 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 2 against G2. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 30, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 4h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xd570…e4f83 linked markets · $103.5K gross
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f3 linked markets · $61.9K gross
ExplosiveNinja2 linked markets · $40.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY G22h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY G2@ 58.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +6.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Natus Vincere@ 50.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -4.0pp
Latest book event: G2 UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $219 → $6.0K · 3s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor G2; negative values favor Natus Vincere. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNatus Vincere · $46.1K
6hNatus Vincere · $35.5K
24hNatus Vincere · $32.8K

G2 price VWAP

Volume-weighted G2 price. Natus Vincere fills are converted to the complementary G2 probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h69.7¢▲ above by 30.3pp
VWAP 7d69.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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G2 price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$69.8K
90¢
$1.2K
85¢
$9.8K
80¢
$19.0K
75¢
$10.1K
70¢
$2.5K
65¢
$3.7K
60¢
$17.8K
55¢
$101.2K
50¢
$52.6K
45¢
$10.9K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLG2$18.7K@ 99.9¢
maxoveral000x5f0e…7397
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYG2$13.3K@ 58.0¢
ExplosiveNinja0x73e3…1be9
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYNatus Vincere$10.5K@ 42.0¢
SineNooneEI0x3833…33d1
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYNatus Vincere$19.8K@ 50.0¢
StasPanda0x7e5e…7315
🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYNatus Vincere$10.3K@ 50.0¢
StasPanda0x7e5e…7315
🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

StasPandaNatus Vincere$32.5K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·3 fills
ExplosiveNinjaG2$30.5K
BUY VWAP 57.7¢·3 fills
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fG2$18.9K
BUY VWAP 72.0¢·7 fills
SineNooneEINatus Vincere$10.5K
BUY VWAP 42.0¢·1 fill
0xd570…e4f8G2$10.5K
BUY VWAP 49.9¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.