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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner

● quote 41s ago
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $1.4MOfficial 24h Vol: $949.0KEvent: LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
100.0¢
Invictus Gaming
0.1¢
Top Esports
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection17Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets20Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 19 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:401 trades$395.8K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Top Esports · $13.1K net·19 wallets·$64.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLInvictus Gaming$21.2K@ 100¢·BBQChickenisthebesttt

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Top Esports pressure: $67.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$67.1K
6h
−$155.2K
tracked
$395.8K

19 verified profitable wallets: Top Esports · $13.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +8.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Top Esports or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-05 10:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 1 against Top Esports.

•This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game 1 against Invictus Gaming.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 1 match between Invictus Gaming and Top Esports in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 1 against Top Esports. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game 1 against Invictus Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 5, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x9e3e…f8824 linked markets · $69.3K gross
BBQChickenisthebesttt3 linked markets · $55.1K gross
asuka72 linked markets · $51.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Invictus Gaming@ 92.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Top Esports@ 48.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Invictus Gaming UP 7.5pp · near-book depth $4.2K → $4.1K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Invictus Gaming; negative values favor Top Esports. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTop Esports · $67.1K
6hTop Esports · $155.2K
24hTop Esports · $155.2K

Invictus Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted Invictus Gaming price. Top Esports fills are converted to the complementary Invictus Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h72.3¢▲ above by 27.7pp
VWAP 7d72.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Invictus Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$192.6K
90¢
$15.9K
85¢
$4.5K
80¢
$0
75¢
$2.5K
70¢
$10.8K
65¢
$7.6K
60¢
$6.5K
55¢
$8.2K
50¢
$4.2K
45¢
$28.3K
40¢
$53.6K
35¢
$18.8K
30¢
$1.5K
25¢
$6.9K
20¢
$2.6K
15¢
$21.1K
10¢
$10.2K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLInvictus Gaming$21.2K@ 99.9¢
BBQChickenisthebesttt0x1660…5598
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLInvictus Gaming$20.0K@ 99.9¢
asuka70xa469…0782
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLInvictus Gaming$10.1K@ 99.9¢
Skyfker0x57b4…b46b
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLInvictus Gaming$14.1K@ 99.0¢
TLking0x74b7…8b0b
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTop Esports$15.0K@ 60.0¢0xf201…527e🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

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0.1¢$961.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf201…527eTop Esports$25.9K
BUY VWAP 63.7¢·7 fills
48binnTop Esports$12.5K
BUY VWAP 72.6¢·3 fills
zb8Invictus Gaming$11.4K
BUY VWAP 55.8¢·2 fills
zb8Top Esports$10.8K
BUY VWAP 28.9¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.