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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner

● quote 19s ago
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $746.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.4MEvent: LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
0.1¢
Invictus Gaming
100.0¢
Top Esports
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection31Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets52Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 17 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:321 trades$593.8K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 11 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Top Esports · $34.2K net·17 wallets·$65.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTop Esports$38.1K@ 100¢·JUSTINHERBERTMVP

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Invictus Gaming pressure: $185.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$185.6K
6h
+$140.1K
tracked
$593.8K

17 verified profitable wallets: Top Esports · $34.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +8.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 11 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Invictus Gaming or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-05 10:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 2 against Top Esports.

•This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game 2 against Invictus Gaming.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 1 match between Invictus Gaming and Top Esports in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 2 against Top Esports. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game 2 against Invictus Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 5, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x9e3e…f8824 linked markets · $79.3K gross
asuka73 linked markets · $56.1K gross
BBQChickenisthebesttt3 linked markets · $55.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Top Esports@ 92.0¢59m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Invictus Gaming@ 40.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -38.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Invictus Gaming@ 50.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -45.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Invictus Gaming@ 50.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -45.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Invictus Gaming DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $132 → $36 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Invictus Gaming; negative values favor Top Esports. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hInvictus Gaming · $185.6K
6hInvictus Gaming · $140.1K
24hInvictus Gaming · $140.1K

Invictus Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted Invictus Gaming price. Top Esports fills are converted to the complementary Invictus Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h23.6¢▼ below by 23.6pp
VWAP 7d23.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Invictus Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$2.4K
50¢
$59.0K
45¢
$179.8K
40¢
$12.5K
35¢
$12.4K
30¢
$802
25¢
$11.9K
20¢
$8.9K
15¢
$5.5K
10¢
$13.0K
5¢
$30.9K
0¢
← now
$256.7K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLTop Esports$38.1K@ 99.9¢
JUSTINHERBERTMVP0x86e9…4cdf
🐋—23 minutes ago
SELLTop Esports$17.2K@ 99.9¢
teacherbai0x5784…2371
🐋—27 minutes ago
SELLTop Esports$15.0K@ 99.9¢
asuka70xa469…0782
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLTop Esports$15.2K@ 99.9¢
Skyfker0x57b4…b46b
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLTop Esports$30.0K@ 99.9¢
Zywoo1230xc44f…d49f
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLTop Esports$22.5K@ 99.9¢0xf751…fec8🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLTop Esports$25.0K@ 99.9¢
BBQChickenisthebesttt0x1660…5598
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTop Esports$18.2K@ 91.0¢
JaJa8880xf2f2…0550
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$34.3K@ 49.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTop Esports$11.7K@ 52.0¢0xf751…fec8🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Diabolical-PrizeInvictus Gaming$42.1K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·2 fills
JaJa888Top Esports$23.6K
BUY VWAP 86.1¢·2 fills
five5120Invictus Gaming$17.2K
BUY VWAP 49.3¢·2 fills
jackpeter888Invictus Gaming$15.3K
BUY VWAP 50.9¢·2 fills
0xf201…527eTop Esports$15.0K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·8 fills
fkgggg2mouzfuriaTop Esports$14.8K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·2 fills
JUSTINHERBERTMVPTop Esports$12.3K
BUY VWAP 51.4¢·5 fills
skdedTop Esports$12.2K
BUY VWAP 92.7¢·5 fills
0xf751…fec8Top Esports$11.7K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.