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Counter-Strike: Legacy vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B

● quote 50s ago
Sports→Closes: about 11 hoursLiquidity: $101.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $205.1KEvent: Counter-Strike: Legacy vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
68.5¢
Legacy
31.5¢
magic
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly71Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets66Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority54Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:31 trades$67.7K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 33%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:magic · $27.3K net·2 wallets·$27.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYmagic$10.0K@ 33¢·0xf559…f462

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Legacy pressure: $1.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.4K
6h
−$19.1K
tracked
$67.7K

2 verified profitable wallets: magic · $27.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 54

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 11h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Legacy or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-08 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win the match against magic.

•This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Legacy.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Legacy and magic in the FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B, initially scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win the match against magic. This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Legacy. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 7, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x29b5…cc6c2 linked markets · $44.9K gross
StasPanda2 linked markets · $7.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Legacy; negative values favor magic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLegacy · $1.4K
6hmagic · $19.1K
24hmagic · $9.7K

Legacy price VWAP

Volume-weighted Legacy price. magic fills are converted to the complementary Legacy probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current68.5¢
VWAP 24h68.7¢▼ below by 0.2pp
VWAP 7d68.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Legacy price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$10.4K
65¢
← now
$57.3K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYmagic$10.0K@ 32.8¢0xf559…f462🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x29b5…cc6cmagic$27.4K
BUY VWAP 31.9¢·11 fills
0xf559…f462magic$10.0K
BUY VWAP 32.8¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.