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LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $858.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $662.7KEvent: LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
0.1¢
Karmine Corp
100.0¢
GIANTX
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection9Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets69Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 18 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:243 trades$265.0K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 23 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Karmine Corp · $18.3K net·18 wallets·$26.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLGIANTX$30.3K@ 100¢·ColinHe

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Karmine Corp pressure: $23.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$23.5K
6h
+$122.5K
tracked
$265.0K

18 verified profitable wallets: Karmine Corp · $18.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest accumulation: -4.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 23 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Karmine Corp or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-05 19:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 2 against GIANTX.

•This market will resolve to "GIANTX" if GIANTX win Game 2 against Karmine Corp.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Karmine Corp and GIANTX in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 2 against GIANTX. This market will resolve to "GIANTX" if GIANTX win Game 2 against Karmine Corp. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf201…527e4 linked markets · $184.1K gross
Jer-Predict3 linked markets · $24.4K gross
0x5b10…96594 linked markets · $22.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Karmine Corp@ 5.0¢48m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Karmine Corp1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Karmine Corp@ 61.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -57.0pp
Latest book event: GIANTX UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $3.8K → $491 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Karmine Corp; negative values favor GIANTX. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKarmine Corp · $23.5K
6hKarmine Corp · $122.5K
24hKarmine Corp · $122.5K

Karmine Corp price VWAP

Volume-weighted Karmine Corp price. GIANTX fills are converted to the complementary Karmine Corp probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h44.5¢▼ below by 44.4pp
VWAP 7d44.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Karmine Corp price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$7.1K
90¢
$24.4K
85¢
$17.8K
80¢
$13.4K
75¢
$46.7K
70¢
$885
65¢
$4.8K
60¢
$158
55¢
$22.1K
50¢
$6.8K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$24.1K
15¢
$1.2K
10¢
$0
5¢
$2.9K
0¢
← now
$92.7K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLGIANTX$30.3K@ 99.9¢
ColinHe0x6842…20d0
🐋—43 minutes ago
BUYGIANTX$14.3K@ 99.0¢
LuckyWin0x5922…3388
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYGIANTX$10.3K@ 79.0¢
bloodmaster0x58f8…dc70
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$318.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf201…527eKarmine Corp$51.4K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·10 fills
bloodmasterGIANTX$15.0K
BUY VWAP 78.0¢·3 fills
LuckyWinGIANTX$14.3K
BUY VWAP 99.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.