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Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $166.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $88.7KEvent: LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
0.1¢
Karmine Corp
100.0¢
GIANTX
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection46Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets5Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 99%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:29 trades$84.9K trackedsource coverage 96%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Karmine Corp · $290 net·2 wallets·$4.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKarmine Corp$8.1K@ 46¢·lolpredict

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

GIANTX pressure: $39.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$39.3K
6h
−$20.0K
tracked
$84.9K

2 verified profitable wallets: Karmine Corp · $290 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 99% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from GIANTX or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-05 19:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp wins 3 or more games than GIANTX in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "GIANTX".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Karmine Corp and GIANTX in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp wins 3 or more games than GIANTX in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "GIANTX". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf201…527e4 linked markets · $172.4K gross
Broken-Blade2 linked markets · $21.2K gross
0x5b10…96593 linked markets · $20.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: GIANTX UP 11.0pp · near-book depth $387 → $25 · 38s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Karmine Corp; negative values favor GIANTX. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGIANTX · $39.3K
6hGIANTX · $20.0K
24hGIANTX · $20.0K

Karmine Corp price VWAP

Volume-weighted Karmine Corp price. GIANTX fills are converted to the complementary Karmine Corp probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h17.2¢▼ below by 17.2pp
VWAP 7d17.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Karmine Corp price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$3.5K
55¢
$3.0K
50¢
$0
45¢
$17.7K
40¢
$5.5K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$603
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$54.5K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

RoshanMVPGIANTX$49.9K
BUY VWAP 99.8¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.