PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-09-13?

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $98.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $2.2MEvent: RC Celta de Vigo vs. Málaga CF
80.5¢
YES
19.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets96Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority66Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 79%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:73 trades$1.2M tracked22% 🐋source coverage 55%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES · $940.3K net·5 wallets(1🐋)·$979.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYES$170.0K@ 57¢·totoro3miyazaki

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

NO pressure: $6.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$6.7K
6h
+$1.1M
tracked
$1.2M

5 verified profitable wallets: YES · $940.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 79% · priority 66

Since latest accumulation: +23.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 23.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-13 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Mutually exclusive
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/
Outcome meaning

•If RC Celta de Vigo wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 13, 2026 If RC Celta de Vigo wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY YES@ 58.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -7.0pp1h CONFIRMED +21.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY YES@ 58.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -7.0pp1h CONFIRMED +21.0pp
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY YES@ 57.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -3.0pp1h CONFIRMED +22.0pp
POSITION CHANGEBUY YES@ 57.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +22.0pp
Latest book event: NO DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $2.4K → $2.1K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNO · $6.7K
6hYES · $1.1M
24hYES · $1.1M

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current80.5¢
VWAP 24h56.9¢▲ above by 23.6pp
VWAP 7d56.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
← now
$1.3K
75¢
$2.4K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$1.2M
50¢
$30.5K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYYES$11.2K@ 55.8¢0xd4fe…c916🐋—39 minutes ago
BUYYES$58.7K@ 57.0¢
bettingbettor0x6bfb…02c9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYYES$19.9K@ 57.0¢
bettingbettor0x6bfb…02c9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYYES$42.8K@ 57.0¢
bettingbettor0x6bfb…02c9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYYES$46.2K@ 57.0¢
vjnn0x55a1…db28
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYYES$50.7K@ 57.0¢
totoro3miyazaki0x0f6f…d977
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYYES$170.0K@ 57.0¢
totoro3miyazaki0x0f6f…d977
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYYES$50.7K@ 57.0¢
totoro3miyazaki0x0f6f…d977
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYYES$31.7K@ 57.0¢
totoro3miyazaki0x0f6f…d977
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYYES$50.7K@ 57.0¢
totoro3miyazaki0x0f6f…d977
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYYES$164.7K@ 57.0¢
totoro3miyazaki0x0f6f…d977
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYYES$31.7K@ 57.0¢
totoro3miyazaki0x0f6f…d977
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYYES$164.7K@ 57.0¢
totoro3miyazaki0x0f6f…d977
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYYES$107.7K@ 57.0¢
totoro3miyazaki0x0f6f…d977
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYYES$107.8K@ 57.0¢
totoro3miyazaki0x0f6f…d977
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYYES$21.7K@ 56.0¢
totoro3miyazaki0x0f6f…d977
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
0.1¢$2.3Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 3 Winner
100.0¢$1.6Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winner
0.1¢$1.2Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?
83.5¢$924.1Kpriority67Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?
44.5¢$892.0Kpriority62Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$430.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton
58.5¢$369.6Kpriority44Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

totoro3miyazakiYes$957.4K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·12 fills
bettingbettorYes$129.9K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·4 fills
vjnnYes$46.2K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·1 fill
0xd4fe…c916Yes$11.2K
BUY VWAP 55.8¢·1 fill
FlaznorpNo$10.7K
BUY VWAP 45.9¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.