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Browns vs. Jets

● quote just now
Sports→American FootballCloses: 34 minutesLiquidity: $268.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $624.9KEvent: Browns vs. Jets
29.5¢
Browns
70.5¢
Jets
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection28Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets90Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority73Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 88%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:69 trades$324.1K tracked13% 🐋source coverage 52%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jets · $71.6K net·10 wallets(2🐋)·$79.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJets$34.2K@ 57¢·SDTrading

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Jets pressure: $91.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$91.8K
6h
−$190.0K
tracked
$324.1K

10 verified profitable wallets: Jets · $71.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 88% · priority 73

Since latest large flow: +14.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 14.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Jets or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-11 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Browns" if Browns win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Jets" if Jets win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Browns and Jets, scheduled for October 11 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Browns" if Browns win the game. This market will resolve to "Jets" if Jets win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $28.1K gross
Pwaddler2 linked markets · $25.7K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $24.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Jets@ 57.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +17.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Jets@ 57.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Browns@ 44.0¢12h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Jets@ 57.0¢14h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Browns UP 7.0pp · near-book depth $64.8K → $14.0K · 44s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Browns; negative values favor Jets. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJets · $91.8K
6hJets · $190.0K
24hJets · $162.7K

Browns price VWAP

Volume-weighted Browns price. Jets fills are converted to the complementary Browns probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current29.5¢
VWAP 24h42.0¢▼ below by 12.5pp
VWAP 7d42.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Browns price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$19.0K
40¢
$252.2K
35¢
$46.0K
30¢
$0
25¢
← now
$6.9K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYJets$20.6K@ 64.0¢
iDARKenjoyer0xf68a…5b1b
🐋—25 minutes ago
BUYJets$18.5K@ 59.0¢
KaneAnalytics0x7e3a…3246
🐋—26 minutes ago
BUYJets$21.4K@ 57.0¢0xb4f9…c9a7🐋—44 minutes ago
BUYJets$34.2K@ 57.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYJets$18.8K@ 57.0¢
wan1230xde7b…5f4b
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBrowns$17.6K@ 44.0¢
btmx60x7469…a5f0
🐋—about 12 hours ago
BUYJets$24.8K@ 56.7¢
Kosherlocks0x8239…d9a3
🐋—about 14 hours ago
BUYBrowns$19.0K@ 45.0¢0xb4f9…c9a7🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYBrowns$19.0K@ 44.0¢0xb4f9…c9a7🐋—about 18 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xb4f9…c9a7Browns$38.0K
BUY VWAP 44.5¢·2 fills
SDTradingJets$34.2K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·1 fill
0xb4f9…c9a7Jets$30.5K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·2 fills
wan123Jets$28.5K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·2 fills
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FANJets$26.3K
BUY VWAP 58.3¢·3 fills
KosherlocksJets$24.8K
BUY VWAP 56.7¢·1 fill
iDARKenjoyerJets$21.1K
BUY VWAP 63.9¢·2 fills
KaneAnalyticsJets$20.9K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·2 fills
btmx6Browns$17.6K
BUY VWAP 44.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.