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49ers vs. Seahawks

● quote just now
Sports→American FootballCloses: 9 minutesLiquidity: $2.0MOfficial 24h Vol: $415.3KEvent: 49ers vs. Seahawks
41.5¢
49ers
58.5¢
Seahawks
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection72Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority72Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 90%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:28 trades$253.9K tracked11% 🐋source coverage 61%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:49ers · $691 net·2 wallets·$6.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUY49ers$117.3K@ 40¢·BreakTheBank

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW 49ers SETUP
What the tape says

49ers pressure: $180.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$180.8K
6h
+$193.9K
tracked
$253.9K

2 verified profitable wallets: 49ers · $691 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 90% · priority 72

Since latest liquidity absorption: +1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from 49ers or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-11 20:25 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "49ers" if 49ers win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Seahawks" if Seahawks win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between 49ers and Seahawks, scheduled for October 11 at 4:25PM ET: This market will resolve to "49ers" if 49ers win the game. This market will resolve to "Seahawks" if Seahawks win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
BreakTheBank2 linked markets · $136.7K gross
0x418d…88a32 linked markets · $12.2K gross
Siddhartha12 linked markets · $10.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY 49ers@ 41.0¢6m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY 49ers@ 41.0¢50m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor 49ers; negative values favor Seahawks. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h49ers · $180.8K
6h49ers · $193.9K
24h49ers · $185.0K

49ers price VWAP

Volume-weighted 49ers price. Seahawks fills are converted to the complementary 49ers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current41.5¢
VWAP 24h40.1¢▲ above by 1.4pp
VWAP 7d40.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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49ers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$228.4K
35¢
$34.4K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUY49ers$72.3K@ 41.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—2 minutes ago
BUY49ers$117.3K@ 40.0¢
BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSeahawks$14.0K@ 62.0¢
Canesclean0x13ff…16a3
🐋—about 6 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 46.5
52.5¢$184.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)
28.5¢$80.2Kpriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)
54.5¢$19.1Kpriority61Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)
44.5¢$17.8Kpriority60Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bears vs. Packers
0.1¢$1.3Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$422.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs NRG (BO3) - FRAG University Playoffs
100.0¢$368.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Lions vs. Cardinals: O/U 54.5
51.5¢$366.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

BreakTheBank49ers$125.0K
BUY VWAP 39.9¢·2 fills
Diabolical-Prize49ers$72.3K
BUY VWAP 41.0¢·1 fill
CanescleanSeahawks$14.0K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.