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Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $52.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $330.9KEvent: Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox
4.5¢
Minnesota Twins
95.5¢
Chicago White Sox
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection11Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets99Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution85Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority69Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:89 trades$165.0K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 50%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Chicago White Sox · $25.6K net·11 wallets·$25.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChicago White Sox$45.0K@ 58¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Chicago White Sox pressure: $18.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$18.6K
6h
−$88.1K
tracked
$165.0K

11 verified profitable wallets: Chicago White Sox · $25.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 69

Since latest liquidity absorption: +41.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 41.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Chicago White Sox or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-13 22:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for September 6 at 6:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3dfb…abaf2 linked markets · $54.4K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $26.6K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $13.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Chicago White Sox@ 55.0¢58m ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Minnesota Twins@ 40.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -16.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Chicago White Sox@ 61.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +16.0pp
Latest book event: Chicago White Sox DOWN 2.5pp · near-book depth $11.5K → $64 · 6s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Minnesota Twins; negative values favor Chicago White Sox. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hChicago White Sox · $18.6K
6hChicago White Sox · $88.1K
24hChicago White Sox · $88.1K

Minnesota Twins price VWAP

Volume-weighted Minnesota Twins price. Chicago White Sox fills are converted to the complementary Minnesota Twins probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current4.5¢
VWAP 24h37.3¢▼ below by 32.8pp
VWAP 7d37.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Minnesota Twins price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$2.7K
40¢
$93.0K
35¢
$50.1K
30¢
$40
25¢
$7.0K
20¢
$152
15¢
$155
10¢
$18
5¢
$11.8K
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYChicago White Sox$13.0K@ 58.3¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMinnesota Twins$11.0K@ 36.5¢
Sunny240x2089…712e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMinnesota Twins$10.0K@ 40.0¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMinnesota Twins$10.0K@ 40.1¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYChicago White Sox$10.0K@ 61.0¢
Runemup0x75f2…ff6d
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYChicago White Sox$45.0K@ 58.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYChicago White Sox$10.4K@ 58.0¢
Feromont0xabb8…bba3
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3dfb…abafChicago White Sox$45.0K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardChicago White Sox$22.1K
BUY VWAP 76.2¢·3 fills
0x78be…bde0Minnesota Twins$20.0K
BUY VWAP 40.0¢·2 fills
kkookkooChicago White Sox$13.0K
BUY VWAP 58.3¢·1 fill
RunemupChicago White Sox$12.0K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·2 fills
Sunny24Minnesota Twins$11.0K
BUY VWAP 36.5¢·1 fill
FeromontChicago White Sox$10.4K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.