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Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

● quote 10s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $502.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $322.6KEvent: Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
37.5¢
Cincinnati Reds
62.5¢
Los Angeles Dodgers
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection7Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:23 trades$139.1K tracked17% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 17 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCincinnati Reds$41.4K@ 39¢·x55x

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Cincinnati Reds pressure: $10.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$10.0K
6h
+$44.1K
tracked
$139.1K

1 verified profitable wallet: Cincinnati Reds · $7.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest position change: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 17 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Cincinnati Reds or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-15 01:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for September 7 at 9:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

POSITION CHANGEBUY Los Angeles Dodgers@ 63.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Cincinnati Reds@ 38.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Los Angeles Dodgers@ 63.0¢10h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Cincinnati Reds@ 38.0¢10h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cincinnati Reds; negative values favor Los Angeles Dodgers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCincinnati Reds · $10.0K
6hCincinnati Reds · $44.1K
24hCincinnati Reds · $49.0K

Cincinnati Reds price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cincinnati Reds price. Los Angeles Dodgers fills are converted to the complementary Cincinnati Reds probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current37.5¢
VWAP 24h38.5¢▼ below by 1.0pp
VWAP 7d38.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cincinnati Reds price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$9.8K
35¢
← now
$129.3K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCincinnati Reds$10.0K@ 38.0¢
Exterminatormoney0xb853…0d33
🐋—18 minutes ago
BUYCincinnati Reds$31.0K@ 38.0¢
IcemanSeason0xb939…da70
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers$34.9K@ 62.0¢
Talvez100xa710…23c4
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYCincinnati Reds$41.4K@ 39.0¢
x55x0x516c…3d58
🐋—about 10 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

x55xCincinnati Reds$41.4K
BUY VWAP 39.0¢·1 fill
Talvez10Los Angeles Dodgers$34.9K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·1 fill
IcemanSeasonCincinnati Reds$31.0K
BUY VWAP 38.0¢·1 fill
ExterminatormoneyCincinnati Reds$10.0K
BUY VWAP 38.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.