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W15 Badalona: Marina Quesada Oyonarte vs Cristina Diaz Adrover

● quote 41s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $8.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.2KEvent: W15 Badalona: Marina Quesada Oyonarte vs Cristina Diaz Adrover
17.5¢
Marina Quesada Oyonarte
82.5¢
Cristina Diaz Adrover
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution72Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%
24h sample:5 trades$21.9K trackedsource coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 541 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCristina Diaz Adrover$6.7K@ 83¢·Jan777

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$21.9K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 541 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-09 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Marina Quesada Oyonarte and Cristina Diaz Adrover in the W15 Badalona, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marina Quesada Oyonarte' if Marina Quesada Oyonarte advances against Cristina Diaz Adrover. This market will resolve to 'Cristina Diaz Adrover' if Cristina Diaz Adrover advances against Marina Quesada Oyonarte. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Marina Quesada Oyonarte; negative values favor Cristina Diaz Adrover. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMarina Quesada Oyonarte · $0
6hMarina Quesada Oyonarte · $0
24hCristina Diaz Adrover · $21.8K

Marina Quesada Oyonarte price VWAP

Volume-weighted Marina Quesada Oyonarte price. Cristina Diaz Adrover fills are converted to the complementary Marina Quesada Oyonarte probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current17.5¢
VWAP 24h16.4¢▲ above by 1.1pp
VWAP 7d16.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Marina Quesada Oyonarte price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
← now
$21.9K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Jan777Cristina Diaz Adrover$21.9K
BUY VWAP 83.6¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.