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Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 10 hoursLiquidity: $78.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $126.6KEvent: Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main)
70.5¢
Garcia
29.5¢
Benn
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly17Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution90Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 55%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:23 trades$26.6K trackedsource coverage 21%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 44 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Benn · $6.3K net·2 wallets·$6.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBenn$5.2K@ 28¢·WarewaPain

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$150
6h
+$10.3K
tracked
$26.6K

2 verified profitable wallets: Benn · $6.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 55% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 44 minutes old.
  • •Less than 10h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-13 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Garcia" if Ryan Garcia is officially declared the winner of the fight against Conor Benn at Zuffa Boxing: Benn vs. Garcia, scheduled for September 12, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Benn" if Conor Benn is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Garcia" if Ryan Garcia is officially declared the winner of the fight against Conor Benn at Zuffa Boxing: Benn vs. Garcia, scheduled for September 12, 2026. It will resolve to "Benn" if Conor Benn is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.ufc.com/.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Garcia; negative values favor Benn. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGarcia · $150
6hGarcia · $10.3K
24hBenn · $1.6K

Garcia price VWAP

Volume-weighted Garcia price. Benn fills are converted to the complementary Garcia probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current70.5¢
VWAP 24h72.0¢▼ below by 1.5pp
VWAP 7d71.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Garcia price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
← now
$28.0K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$1.4K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.