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US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $120.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $217.0KEvent: US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo
41.5¢
Jan-Lennard Struff
58.5¢
Francisco Cerundolo
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets35Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:35 trades$96.2K tracked9% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 41s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Francisco Cerundolo · $7.5K net·2 wallets·$14.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJan-Lennard Struff$30.1K@ 38¢·Gourmet1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Jan-Lennard Struff pressure: $3.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$3.3K
6h
−$25.9K
tracked
$96.2K

2 verified profitable wallets: Francisco Cerundolo · $7.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -2.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Jan-Lennard Struff or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-09 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jan-Lennard Struff and Francisco Cerundolo in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan-Lennard Struff' if Jan-Lennard Struff advances against Francisco Cerundolo. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Cerundolo' if Francisco Cerundolo advances against Jan-Lennard Struff. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Francisco Cerundolo@ 61.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Jan-Lennard Struff@ 39.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jan-Lennard Struff; negative values favor Francisco Cerundolo. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJan-Lennard Struff · $3.3K
6hFrancisco Cerundolo · $25.9K
24hFrancisco Cerundolo · $12.1K

Jan-Lennard Struff price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jan-Lennard Struff price. Francisco Cerundolo fills are converted to the complementary Jan-Lennard Struff probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current41.5¢
VWAP 24h38.9¢▲ above by 2.6pp
VWAP 7d38.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jan-Lennard Struff price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$27.5K
35¢
$68.7K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYFrancisco Cerundolo$12.8K@ 60.2¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYJan-Lennard Struff$30.1K@ 38.0¢
Gourmet10xc430…1ebf
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYFrancisco Cerundolo$12.6K@ 62.0¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋—about 8 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Gourmet1Jan-Lennard Struff$31.3K
BUY VWAP 38.0¢·2 fills
BrotherObamaFrancisco Cerundolo$15.0K
BUY VWAP 60.4¢·2 fills
AV23IUaFrancisco Cerundolo$12.6K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·1 fill
mooseborzoiFrancisco Cerundolo$10.2K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.