PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

US Open WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Diana Shnaider

● quote 18s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $319.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $611.7KEvent: US Open WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Diana Shnaider
100.0¢
Taylor Townsend
0.1¢
Diana Shnaider
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection10Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets4Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 15 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:204 trades$191.9K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 11 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Taylor Townsend · $1.6K net·15 wallets·$38.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDiana Shnaider$24.7K@ 62¢·AV23IUa

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Diana Shnaider pressure: $19.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$19.8K
6h
−$21.4K
tracked
$191.9K

15 verified profitable wallets: Taylor Townsend · $1.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -25.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 11 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Diana Shnaider or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-11 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Townsend and Diana Shnaider in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Townsend' if Taylor Townsend advances against Diana Shnaider. This market will resolve to 'Diana Shnaider' if Diana Shnaider advances against Taylor Townsend. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Diana Shnaider2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Diana Shnaider@ 26.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +2.0pp1h CONFIRMED +5.0pp
Latest book event: Diana Shnaider DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $256 → $469 · 6s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Taylor Townsend; negative values favor Diana Shnaider. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDiana Shnaider · $19.8K
6hDiana Shnaider · $21.4K
24hDiana Shnaider · $46.0K

Taylor Townsend price VWAP

Volume-weighted Taylor Townsend price. Diana Shnaider fills are converted to the complementary Taylor Townsend probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h58.5¢▲ above by 41.4pp
VWAP 7d58.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Taylor Townsend price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$18.6K
90¢
$9.0K
85¢
$1.5K
80¢
$1.6K
75¢
$1.6K
70¢
$5.6K
65¢
$16.9K
60¢
$39.6K
55¢
$7.6K
50¢
$7.7K
45¢
$5.7K
40¢
$33.3K
35¢
$41.3K
30¢
$1.9K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTaylor Townsend$10.0K@ 38.8¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTaylor Townsend$10.0K@ 41.8¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYDiana Shnaider$24.7K@ 62.0¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋—about 7 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz
6.9¢$1.7Mpriority67Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs
5.0¢$1.7Mpriority54Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
33.5¢$1.6Mpriority54Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$401.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$305.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

AV23IUaDiana Shnaider$24.7K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·1 fill
0x78be…bde0Taylor Townsend$20.0K
BUY VWAP 40.3¢·2 fills
FlaznorpTaylor Townsend$10.8K
BUY VWAP 66.4¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.