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US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Frances Tiafoe

Sports→Settlement: Frances TiafoeLiquidity: $308.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $606.4KEvent: US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Frances Tiafoe
0.0¢
Valentin Vacherot payout
100.0¢
Frances Tiafoe payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFrances Tiafoe$42.3K@ 79¢·0b1fe

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Frances Tiafoe. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-11 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Vacherot and Frances Tiafoe in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vacherot' if Valentin Vacherot advances against Frances Tiafoe. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Valentin Vacherot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Frances Tiafoe@ 91.0¢9d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Frances Tiafoe@ 89.0¢9d ago
15m CONFIRMED +4.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Frances Tiafoe@ 88.0¢9d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h CONFIRMED +10.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ACCUMULATIONBUY Frances Tiafoe@ 88.0¢9d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h CONFIRMED +4.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Valentin Vacherot; negative values favor Frances Tiafoe. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFrances Tiafoe · $18.4K
6hFrances Tiafoe · $147.0K
24hFrances Tiafoe · $151.0K

Valentin Vacherot price VWAP

Volume-weighted Valentin Vacherot price. Frances Tiafoe fills are converted to the complementary Valentin Vacherot probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h16.6¢▼ below by 16.6pp
VWAP 7d16.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Valentin Vacherot price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$70.3K
30¢
$0
25¢
$1.9K
20¢
$44.8K
15¢
$23.0K
10¢
$52.8K
5¢
$61.1K
0¢
← now
$53.1K

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYFrances Tiafoe$13.9K@ 98.9¢
hd7770x986b…bdc6
🐋—9 days ago
BUYFrances Tiafoe$20.6K@ 98.9¢
hd7770x986b…bdc6
🐋—9 days ago
SELLFrances Tiafoe$34.4K@ 92.0¢
beeemw0x1e38…fd47
🐋—9 days ago
BUYFrances Tiafoe$19.5K@ 93.0¢
beeemw0x1e38…fd47
🐋—9 days ago
BUYFrances Tiafoe$14.3K@ 88.0¢
beeemw0x1e38…fd47
🐋—9 days ago
BUYFrances Tiafoe$13.1K@ 89.0¢
0b1fe0x9bb1…4dbe
🐋—9 days ago
BUYFrances Tiafoe$11.7K@ 82.0¢
0b1fe0x9bb1…4dbe
🐋—9 days ago
BUYFrances Tiafoe$42.3K@ 78.7¢
0b1fe0x9bb1…4dbe
🐋—9 days ago
BUYFrances Tiafoe$30.7K@ 64.0¢
Painfulvoid0xd696…8a49
🐋—9 days ago
BUYFrances Tiafoe$15.7K@ 63.0¢
Painfulvoid0xd696…8a49
🐋—9 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.