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US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $354.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $90.3KEvent: US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli
50.5¢
Alexander Blockx
49.5¢
Flavio Cobolli
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:18 trades$38.9K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 33 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alexander Blockx · $10.6K net·2 wallets·$10.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFlavio Cobolli$16.6K@ 52¢·0x37e0…5b05

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Flavio Cobolli pressure: $2.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$2.5K
6h
+$4.4K
tracked
$38.9K

2 verified profitable wallets: Alexander Blockx · $10.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 33 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Flavio Cobolli or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-11 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Blockx and Flavio Cobolli in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Blockx' if Alexander Blockx advances against Flavio Cobolli. This market will resolve to 'Flavio Cobolli' if Flavio Cobolli advances against Alexander Blockx. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Flavio Cobolli@ 52.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h INVALIDATED -3.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alexander Blockx; negative values favor Flavio Cobolli. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFlavio Cobolli · $2.5K
6hAlexander Blockx · $4.4K
24hFlavio Cobolli · $11.2K

Alexander Blockx price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alexander Blockx price. Flavio Cobolli fills are converted to the complementary Alexander Blockx probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current50.5¢
VWAP 24h48.8¢▲ above by 1.7pp
VWAP 7d48.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alexander Blockx price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$8.6K
45¢
$30.3K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYFlavio Cobolli$16.6K@ 52.0¢0x37e0…5b05🐋—about 6 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x37e0…5b05Flavio Cobolli$16.6K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Alexander Blockx$10.6K
BUY VWAP 49.3¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.