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US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Nikola Bartunkova

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $174.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $77.3KEvent: US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Nikola Bartunkova
79.5¢
Mirra Andreeva
20.5¢
Nikola Bartunkova
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly2Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets71Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:9 trades$35.2K tracked11% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 20 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Mirra Andreeva · $24.7K net·4 wallets(1🐋)·$34.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMirra Andreeva$18.6K@ 79¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$2
6h
+$26.0K
tracked
$35.2K

4 verified profitable wallets: Mirra Andreeva · $24.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 20 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-12 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Mirra Andreeva and Nikola Bartunkova in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mirra Andreeva' if Mirra Andreeva advances against Nikola Bartunkova. This market will resolve to 'Nikola Bartunkova' if Nikola Bartunkova advances against Mirra Andreeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Mirra Andreeva@ 80.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Mirra Andreeva; negative values favor Nikola Bartunkova. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMirra Andreeva · $2
6hMirra Andreeva · $26.0K
24hMirra Andreeva · $25.0K

Mirra Andreeva price VWAP

Volume-weighted Mirra Andreeva price. Nikola Bartunkova fills are converted to the complementary Mirra Andreeva probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current79.5¢
VWAP 24h79.2¢▲ above by 0.3pp
VWAP 7d79.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Mirra Andreeva price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$7.0K
75¢
← now
$28.2K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMirra Andreeva$18.6K@ 79.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Mirra Andreeva$26.6K
BUY VWAP 79.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.