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US Open WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elena Rybakina

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $29.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $560Event: US Open WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elena Rybakina
9.5¢
Yulia Starodubtseva
90.5¢
Elena Rybakina
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution79Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:7 trades$22.4K tracked14% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 72 min agoofficial metadata 8 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Elena Rybakina · $21.7K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$21.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYElena Rybakina$11.6K@ 92¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$19
tracked
$22.4K

2 verified profitable wallets: Elena Rybakina · $21.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 72 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-12 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yulia Starodubtseva and Elena Rybakina in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yulia Starodubtseva' if Yulia Starodubtseva advances against Elena Rybakina. This market will resolve to 'Elena Rybakina' if Elena Rybakina advances against Yulia Starodubtseva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Yulia Starodubtseva; negative values favor Elena Rybakina. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYulia Starodubtseva · $0
6hElena Rybakina · $19
24hElena Rybakina · $22.0K

Yulia Starodubtseva price VWAP

Volume-weighted Yulia Starodubtseva price. Elena Rybakina fills are converted to the complementary Yulia Starodubtseva probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current9.5¢
VWAP 24h8.0¢▲ above by 1.5pp
VWAP 7d8.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Yulia Starodubtseva price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
← now
$22.4K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 5¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYElena Rybakina$11.6K@ 92.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 12 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Elena Rybakina$19.8K
BUY VWAP 92.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.