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Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $37.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $78.4KEvent: LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
37.0¢
T1
63.0¢
Dplus KIA
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly2Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets2Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution81Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:14 trades$36.1K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 35 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Dplus KIA · $0 net·2 wallets·$10 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDplus KIA$14.3K@ 60¢·huli3882

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$5
6h
−$3.8K
tracked
$36.1K

2 verified profitable wallets: Dplus KIA · $0 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 35 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-06 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 wins 2 or more games than Dplus KIA in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Dplus KIA".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between T1 and Dplus KIA in the LCK Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 wins 2 or more games than Dplus KIA in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Dplus KIA". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 6, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
2543217584 linked markets · $150.1K gross
0xf201…527e4 linked markets · $142.0K gross
fkcvffcjt2 linked markets · $91.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Dplus KIA UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $41 → $146 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor T1; negative values favor Dplus KIA. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDplus KIA · $5
6hDplus KIA · $3.8K
24hDplus KIA · $3.8K

T1 price VWAP

Volume-weighted T1 price. Dplus KIA fills are converted to the complementary T1 probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current37.0¢
VWAP 24h46.3¢▼ below by 9.3pp
VWAP 7d46.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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T1 price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$8
60¢
$6
55¢
$3.4K
50¢
$15.2K
45¢
$3
40¢
$14.3K
35¢
← now
$3.2K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYDplus KIA$14.3K@ 60.0¢
huli38820x1d2e…896d
🐋—about 4 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$1.8Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner
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LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
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Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?
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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner
57.5¢$1.0Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
100.0¢$938.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

huli3882Dplus KIA$14.3K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·1 fill
vtcchampion52T1$14.2K
BUY VWAP 50.8¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.