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Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $86.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $719.5KEvent: Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies
100.0¢
Houston Astros
0.1¢
Philadelphia Phillies
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets8Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution91Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:188 trades$357.1K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 50%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Philadelphia Phillies · $6.5K net·12 wallets(1🐋)·$77.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$16.4K@ 67¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Philadelphia Phillies pressure: $22.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$22.0K
6h
−$59.9K
tracked
$357.1K

12 verified profitable wallets: Philadelphia Phillies · $6.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -48.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Philadelphia Phillies or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-17 17:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for September 10 at 1:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Philadelphia Phillies1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Philadelphia Phillies1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Philadelphia Phillies@ 49.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +17.0pp1h CONFIRMED +15.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Philadelphia Phillies@ 54.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +17.0pp1h STALLED +2.0pp
Latest book event: Houston Astros UP 8.5pp · near-book depth $40 → $10.1K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Houston Astros; negative values favor Philadelphia Phillies. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPhiladelphia Phillies · $22.0K
6hPhiladelphia Phillies · $59.9K
24hPhiladelphia Phillies · $65.8K

Houston Astros price VWAP

Volume-weighted Houston Astros price. Philadelphia Phillies fills are converted to the complementary Houston Astros probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h44.7¢▲ above by 55.3pp
VWAP 7d44.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Houston Astros price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$9.0K
90¢
$0
85¢
$2.5K
80¢
$2.8K
75¢
$115
70¢
$3
65¢
$7
60¢
$7.1K
55¢
$17.3K
50¢
$51.5K
45¢
$92.5K
40¢
$52.0K
35¢
$78.7K
30¢
$27.2K
25¢
$16.4K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$11.6K@ 56.9¢
YEEES-but-why0x9052…3c2d
🐋—17 minutes ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$10.6K@ 64.0¢
beeemw0x1e38…fd47
🐋—43 minutes ago
SELLHouston Astros$15.7K@ 35.0¢
Feromont0xabb8…bba3
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$16.4K@ 67.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$10.0K@ 50.0¢
vjnn0x55a1…db28
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$11.4K@ 50.0¢
vjnn0x55a1…db28
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$11.7K@ 48.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$12.6K@ 52.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3dfb…abafPhiladelphia Phillies$32.5K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·3 fills
vjnnPhiladelphia Phillies$21.4K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·2 fills
ferrariChampions2026Houston Astros$20.9K
BUY VWAP 41.3¢·5 fills
YEEES-but-whyPhiladelphia Phillies$19.8K
BUY VWAP 56.1¢·2 fills
0x2c33…0563Philadelphia Phillies$16.4K
BUY VWAP 67.0¢·1 fill
FeromontHouston Astros$13.1K
BUY VWAP 52.7¢·2 fills
edge7777Philadelphia Phillies$12.9K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardPhiladelphia Phillies$12.2K
BUY VWAP 53.9¢·5 fills
jarosbillHouston Astros$11.9K
BUY VWAP 43.8¢·3 fills
wr0ngw4yb3tt0rHouston Astros$11.0K
BUY VWAP 32.3¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.