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Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox

● quote 2 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $378.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $480.4KEvent: Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox
99.9¢
Kansas City Royals
0.1¢
Boston Red Sox
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets81Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:145 trades$207.3K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Boston Red Sox · $21.6K net·10 wallets(1🐋)·$26.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKansas City Royals$15.5K@ 48¢·xifutloong3

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Kansas City Royals pressure: $11.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$11.4K
6h
+$105.9K
tracked
$207.3K

10 verified profitable wallets: Boston Red Sox · $21.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest accumulation: +33.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 33.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Kansas City Royals or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-18 23:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for September 11 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3dfb…abaf2 linked markets · $35.6K gross
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r3 linked markets · $14.5K gross
Flaznorp2 linked markets · $4.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Kansas City Royals47m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Kansas City Royals47m ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Kansas City Royals@ 67.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Kansas City Royals@ 67.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Boston Red Sox DOWN 5.5pp · near-book depth $5 → $16 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Kansas City Royals; negative values favor Boston Red Sox. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKansas City Royals · $11.4K
6hKansas City Royals · $105.9K
24hKansas City Royals · $104.3K

Kansas City Royals price VWAP

Volume-weighted Kansas City Royals price. Boston Red Sox fills are converted to the complementary Kansas City Royals probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h55.8¢▲ above by 44.1pp
VWAP 7d55.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Kansas City Royals price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$7.1K
90¢
$0
85¢
$1.5K
80¢
$724
75¢
$21.5K
70¢
$1.5K
65¢
$9.1K
60¢
$12.1K
55¢
$40.2K
50¢
$10.0K
45¢
$89.2K
40¢
$4.0K
35¢
$7.8K
30¢
$2.7K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBoston Red Sox$14.8K@ 53.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYKansas City Royals$15.5K@ 48.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

DimSumConnoisseur.Kansas City Royals$56.3K
BUY VWAP 56.1¢·10 fills
xifutloong3Kansas City Royals$51.0K
BUY VWAP 47.9¢·8 fills
0x2c33…0563Boston Red Sox$14.8K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·1 fill
wr0ngw4yb3tt0rBoston Red Sox$13.1K
BUY VWAP 49.8¢·8 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.