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Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $435Official 24h Vol: $157.7KEvent: Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
10.5¢
Los Angeles Dodgers
89.5¢
Washington Nationals
3.0¢
Spread
anomaly51Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution65Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:18 trades$69.9K tracked11% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 16 min agoofficial metadata 17s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLos Angeles Dodgers$35.0K@ 48¢·IcemanSeason

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Washington Nationals pressure: $1.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.0K
6h
+$65.2K
tracked
$69.9K

1 verified profitable wallet: Los Angeles Dodgers · $2.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
3.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -35.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 16 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Washington Nationals or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-07 02:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game by 2 or more runs.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Washington Nationals". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Washington Nationals".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for September 6 at 10:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Washington Nationals". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Washington Nationals". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
AV23IUa2 linked markets · $167.6K gross
0x40e9…494f2 linked markets · $15 gross
0x187c…a7f32 linked markets · $4 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Los Angeles Dodgers@ 47.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Los Angeles Dodgers DOWN 17.0pp · near-book depth $794 → $4 · 120s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Los Angeles Dodgers; negative values favor Washington Nationals. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hWashington Nationals · $1.0K
6hLos Angeles Dodgers · $65.2K
24hLos Angeles Dodgers · $65.2K

Los Angeles Dodgers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers price. Washington Nationals fills are converted to the complementary Los Angeles Dodgers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current10.5¢
VWAP 24h47.1¢▼ below by 36.6pp
VWAP 7d47.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Los Angeles Dodgers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$2
45¢
$69.9K
40¢
$7
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$3
10¢
← now
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers$35.0K@ 47.9¢
IcemanSeason0xb939…da70
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers$25.3K@ 46.0¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

IcemanSeasonLos Angeles Dodgers$35.0K
BUY VWAP 47.9¢·1 fill
AV23IUaLos Angeles Dodgers$25.3K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.