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Noche UFC: Jessie Rosas vs. Sean King (Featherweight, Prelims)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 1 dayLiquidity: $31.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.2KEvent: Noche UFC: Jessie Rosas vs. Sean King (Featherweight, Prelims)
35.5¢
Jessie Rosas
64.5¢
Sean King
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly5Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution80Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:96 trades$23.3K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 31 min agoofficial metadata 40s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Sean King · $11.0K net·2 wallets·$11.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSean King$23.0K@ 66¢·0x248e…0b3b

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$58
6h
−$22.8K
tracked
$23.3K

2 verified profitable wallets: Sean King · $11.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 31 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-13 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Jessie Rosas" if Jessie Rosas is officially declared the winner of the fight against Sean King at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Sean King" if Sean King is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Jessie Rosas" if Jessie Rosas is officially declared the winner of the fight against Sean King at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026. It will resolve to "Sean King" if Sean King is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jessie Rosas; negative values favor Sean King. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJessie Rosas · $58
6hSean King · $22.8K
24hSean King · $22.8K

Jessie Rosas price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jessie Rosas price. Sean King fills are converted to the complementary Jessie Rosas probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current35.5¢
VWAP 24h34.0¢▲ above by 1.5pp
VWAP 7d34.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jessie Rosas price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$1.2K
35¢
← now
$6.2K
30¢
$27.9K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSean King$23.0K@ 66.1¢0x248e…0b3b🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x248e…0b3bSean King$23.0K
BUY VWAP 66.1¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.