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Como: Matej Dodig vs Juan Pablo Varillas

Sports→Settlement: Matej DodigLiquidity: $435.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $152.2KEvent: Como: Matej Dodig vs Juan Pablo Varillas
100.0¢
Matej Dodig payout
0.0¢
Juan Pablo Varillas payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:32 trades$64.0K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 72 min agoofficial metadata 32 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Matej Dodig · $22.8K net·3 wallets·$22.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMatej Dodig$10.0K@ 65¢·Runemup

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Matej Dodig. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-13 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Matej Dodig and Juan Pablo Varillas in the Como, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matej Dodig' if Matej Dodig advances against Juan Pablo Varillas. This market will resolve to 'Juan Pablo Varillas' if Juan Pablo Varillas advances against Matej Dodig. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Juan Pablo Varillas DOWN 9.0pp · near-book depth $506 → $3.6K · 48s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Matej Dodig; negative values favor Juan Pablo Varillas. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMatej Dodig · $11.3K
6hMatej Dodig · $8.3K
24hMatej Dodig · $8.3K

Matej Dodig price VWAP

Volume-weighted Matej Dodig price. Juan Pablo Varillas fills are converted to the complementary Matej Dodig probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h75.1¢▲ above by 24.9pp
VWAP 7d75.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Matej Dodig price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$6.1K
90¢
$0
85¢
$18
80¢
$9.0K
75¢
$17.5K
70¢
$9.5K
65¢
$11.4K
60¢
$7.5K
55¢
$3.0K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMatej Dodig$10.0K@ 65.2¢
Runemup0x75f2…ff6d
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Matej Dodig$11.1K
BUY VWAP 77.4¢·3 fills
soukaevJuan Pablo Varillas$10.5K
BUY VWAP 37.7¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardMatej Dodig$10.5K
BUY VWAP 80.2¢·4 fills
RunemupMatej Dodig$10.0K
BUY VWAP 65.2¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.