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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $157.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $500.8KEvent: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds
9.5¢
Milwaukee Brewers
90.5¢
Cincinnati Reds
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection7Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets90Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority67Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:118 trades$230.2K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 45s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Cincinnati Reds · $56.6K net·8 wallets(1🐋)·$62.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMilwaukee Brewers$38.6K@ 60¢·AV23IUa

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Cincinnati Reds pressure: $15.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$15.3K
6h
−$32.2K
tracked
$230.2K

8 verified profitable wallets: Cincinnati Reds · $56.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 67

Since latest large flow: +29.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 29.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Cincinnati Reds or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-13 16:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for September 6 at 12:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo3 linked markets · $41.6K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $32.8K gross
0x5e94…5ba12 linked markets · $22.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Cincinnati Reds2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Cincinnati Reds@ 62.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +17.0pp1h CONFIRMED +20.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Milwaukee Brewers@ 58.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Milwaukee Brewers UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $93 → $5.9K · 12s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Milwaukee Brewers; negative values favor Cincinnati Reds. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCincinnati Reds · $15.3K
6hCincinnati Reds · $32.2K
24hCincinnati Reds · $28.2K

Milwaukee Brewers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Milwaukee Brewers price. Cincinnati Reds fills are converted to the complementary Milwaukee Brewers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current9.5¢
VWAP 24h48.4¢▼ below by 38.9pp
VWAP 7d48.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Milwaukee Brewers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$62.6K
55¢
$63.9K
50¢
$1.9K
45¢
$10.1K
40¢
$63.3K
35¢
$1.9K
30¢
$4.3K
25¢
$0
20¢
$5.4K
15¢
$4.1K
10¢
$2.9K
5¢
← now
$9.9K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCincinnati Reds$21.3K@ 59.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYCincinnati Reds$28.7K@ 59.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYCincinnati Reds$10.8K@ 43.0¢
Feromont0xabb8…bba3
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMilwaukee Brewers$12.4K@ 58.0¢
devilbanker0xef1b…8697
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYCincinnati Reds$14.9K@ 40.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYMilwaukee Brewers$38.6K@ 60.0¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

xifutloong3Cincinnati Reds$50.0K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·2 fills
AV23IUaMilwaukee Brewers$38.6K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·1 fill
devilbankerMilwaukee Brewers$21.0K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·2 fills
wr0ngw4yb3tt0rCincinnati Reds$20.4K
BUY VWAP 43.2¢·4 fills
iamadumbassCincinnati Reds$13.6K
BUY VWAP 90.3¢·3 fills
FeromontCincinnati Reds$10.8K
BUY VWAP 43.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.