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Cassis: Maxime Janvier vs Thomas Fancutt

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $72.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $159.1KEvent: Cassis: Maxime Janvier vs Thomas Fancutt
100.0¢
Maxime Janvier
0.1¢
Thomas Fancutt
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection31Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution95Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:18 trades$130.6K tracked11% 🐋source coverage 82%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Maxime Janvier · $12.5K net·8 wallets·$12.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMaxime Janvier$55.4K@ 99¢·yesmate

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Maxime Janvier pressure: $40.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$40.6K
6h
+$130.6K
tracked
$130.6K

8 verified profitable wallets: Maxime Janvier · $12.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Maxime Janvier or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-13 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Maxime Janvier and Thomas Fancutt in the Cassis, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxime Janvier' if Maxime Janvier advances against Thomas Fancutt. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Fancutt' if Thomas Fancutt advances against Maxime Janvier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.climax

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Maxime Janvier; negative values favor Thomas Fancutt. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMaxime Janvier · $40.6K
6hMaxime Janvier · $130.6K
24hMaxime Janvier · $130.6K

Maxime Janvier price VWAP

Volume-weighted Maxime Janvier price. Thomas Fancutt fills are converted to the complementary Maxime Janvier probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h97.1¢▲ above by 2.8pp
VWAP 7d97.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Maxime Janvier price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$107.1K
90¢
$7.9K
85¢
$15.7K
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMaxime Janvier$22.0K@ 99.9¢
Rock.San0xba8c…e77d
🐋—9 minutes ago
BUYMaxime Janvier$55.4K@ 98.6¢
yesmate0x5d76…9168
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

yesmateMaxime Janvier$75.4K
BUY VWAP 96.2¢·4 fills
Rock.SanMaxime Janvier$22.0K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
simbichMaxime Janvier$18.6K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.