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Seville: Tiago Pereira vs Thiago Cigarran

Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $36.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $84.4KEvent: Seville: Tiago Pereira vs Thiago Cigarran
99.9¢
Tiago Pereira
0.6¢
Thiago Cigarran
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:16 trades$24.0K trackedsource coverage 28%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 29 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Tiago Pereira · $9.4K net·6 wallets·$9.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYThiago Cigarran$8.5K@ 24¢·unknownloser1

Decision read paused

Market status is CLOSED. No executable setup is shown until trading is open again.

CLOSED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
CLOSED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-13 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Tiago Pereira and Thiago Cigarran in the Seville, Spain, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tiago Pereira' if Tiago Pereira advances against Thiago Cigarran. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Cigarran' if Thiago Cigarran advances against Tiago Pereira. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 3m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 3m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Tiago Pereira DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $20.0K → $869 · 29s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market closed · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tiago Pereira; negative values favor Thiago Cigarran. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTiago Pereira · $9.5K
6hTiago Pereira · $6.2K
24hTiago Pereira · $6.2K

Tiago Pereira price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tiago Pereira price. Thiago Cigarran fills are converted to the complementary Tiago Pereira probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h85.4¢▲ above by 14.5pp
VWAP 7d85.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Tiago Pereira price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$10.2K
90¢
$1.1K
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$8.6K
70¢
$4.1K
65¢
$13
60¢
$5
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.