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Istanbul 3: Mert Alkaya vs Tiago Torres

Sports→Settlement: Mert AlkayaLiquidity: $148.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $162.1KEvent: Istanbul 3: Mert Alkaya vs Tiago Torres
100.0¢
Mert Alkaya payout
0.0¢
Tiago Torres payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Tiago Torres · $25.9K net·9 wallets(1🐋)·$36.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTiago Torres$10.1K@ 61¢·0x1610…ae49

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Mert Alkaya. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-14 07:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Mert Alkaya and Tiago Torres in the Istanbul 3, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mert Alkaya' if Mert Alkaya advances against Tiago Torres. This market will resolve to 'Tiago Torres' if Tiago Torres advances against Mert Alkaya. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Tiago Torres@ 69.5¢3d ago
15m INVALIDATED -42.2pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Mert Alkaya; negative values favor Tiago Torres. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTiago Torres · $5.8K
6hTiago Torres · $24.6K
24hTiago Torres · $25.7K

Mert Alkaya price VWAP

Volume-weighted Mert Alkaya price. Tiago Torres fills are converted to the complementary Mert Alkaya probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h52.8¢▲ above by 47.2pp
VWAP 7d52.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Mert Alkaya price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$2.4K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$3
75¢
$105
70¢
$5.5K
65¢
$1.6K
60¢
$0
55¢
$3.7K
50¢
$12.7K
45¢
$6.4K
40¢
$5.0K
35¢
$10.1K
30¢
$1.4K
25¢
$19
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTiago Torres$10.1K@ 60.8¢0x1610…ae49🐋—3 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49Tiago Torres$18.4K
BUY VWAP 56.9¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.