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Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $49.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $232.8KEvent: Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays
3.5¢
Baltimore Orioles
96.5¢
Toronto Blue Jays
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets65Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution84Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority56Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:53 trades$80.5K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Toronto Blue Jays · $29.3K net·8 wallets·$45.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYToronto Blue Jays$12.9K@ 55¢·ic4cream

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Toronto Blue Jays pressure: $2.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$2.6K
6h
−$49.7K
tracked
$80.5K

8 verified profitable wallets: Toronto Blue Jays · $29.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 56

Since latest large flow: +37.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 37.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Toronto Blue Jays or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-19 19:07 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for September 12 at 3:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Toronto Blue Jays2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Toronto Blue Jays2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Toronto Blue Jays@ 60.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +18.0pp1h CONFIRMED +33.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Toronto Blue Jays@ 60.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +18.0pp1h CONFIRMED +33.0pp
Latest book event: Toronto Blue Jays DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $14.3K → $36.7K · 33s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Baltimore Orioles; negative values favor Toronto Blue Jays. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hToronto Blue Jays · $2.6K
6hToronto Blue Jays · $49.7K
24hToronto Blue Jays · $61.6K

Baltimore Orioles price VWAP

Volume-weighted Baltimore Orioles price. Toronto Blue Jays fills are converted to the complementary Baltimore Orioles probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current3.5¢
VWAP 24h35.9¢▼ below by 32.4pp
VWAP 7d35.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Baltimore Orioles price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$55.9K
40¢
$201
35¢
$1
30¢
$0
25¢
$1.4K
20¢
$6.5K
15¢
$2.6K
10¢
$2.4K
5¢
$11.5K
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYToronto Blue Jays$12.9K@ 55.0¢
ic4cream0x27f7…44b0
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ic4creamToronto Blue Jays$18.4K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·2 fills
quavooToronto Blue Jays$17.8K
BUY VWAP 54.8¢·11 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.