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LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner

● quote 13s ago
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $503.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $351.9KEvent: LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs
99.9¢
LOUD
0.1¢
paiN Gaming
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets71Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 15 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:211 trades$126.2K trackedsource coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 97 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:paiN Gaming · $32.7K net·15 wallets(1🐋)·$46.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLOUD$30.0K@ 100¢·5e46h

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$1.3K
tracked
$126.2K

15 verified profitable wallets: paiN Gaming · $32.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 97 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-13 22:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win Game 2 against paiN Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "paiN Gaming" if paiN Gaming win Game 2 against LOUD.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Semifinals 1 match between LOUD and paiN Gaming in the CBLOL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win Game 2 against paiN Gaming. This market will resolve to "paiN Gaming" if paiN Gaming win Game 2 against LOUD. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
5e46h3 linked markets · $63.4K gross
lixancg3 linked markets · $32.5K gross
0xf201…527e5 linked markets · $27.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: paiN Gaming DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $20 → $240 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor LOUD; negative values favor paiN Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLOUD · $0
6hpaiN Gaming · $1.3K
24hpaiN Gaming · $1.3K

LOUD price VWAP

Volume-weighted LOUD price. paiN Gaming fills are converted to the complementary LOUD probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h88.9¢▲ above by 11.0pp
VWAP 7d88.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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LOUD price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$86.7K
90¢
$4.2K
85¢
$1.7K
80¢
$294
75¢
$145
70¢
$6.7K
65¢
$8.4K
60¢
$8.7K
55¢
$3.5K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$2.4K
35¢
$809
30¢
$2.8K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLLOUD$30.0K@ 99.9¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

RoshanMVPLOUD$29.9K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.