Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?

Politics→Settlement: YESLiquidity: $50.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $197.7KEvent: Will $LAPTOP flip $TRUMP by ___?

100.0¢

YES payout

0.0¢

NO payout

Historical analytics · no executable quote

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYES$15.4K@ 100¢·pelik

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome YES. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

RESOLVED

Trading

Orders paused

Deadline

2027-01-01 04:59 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: Not supplied by the market

Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of the LAPTOP token surpasses that of Official Trump (TRUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

•If the LAPTOP token has not launched (i.e., become actively and publicly tradable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No", regardless of the specified date.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of the LAPTOP token surpasses that of Official Trump (TRUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The LAPTOP token referenced in this market is LAPTOP, the token announced by Hunter Biden for launch on Base, as identified by the token's official channels (https://x.com/Laptoptoken) and confirmed by Hunter Biden or his official representatives. The token's launch (TGE) is defined as the first time the token is actively and publicly tradable. If the LAPTOP token has not launched (i.e., become actively and publicly tradable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No", regardless of the specified date. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/official-trump for TRUMP and, once listed, the CoinGecko page for LAPTOP. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, other credible and publicly verifiable sources will be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY YES17d ago

Outcome checks pending

LARGE FLOWBUY YES@ 72.0¢17d ago

15m CONFIRMED +16.0pp1h CONFIRMED +24.3pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status

Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hYES · $44.7K

6hYES · $127.8K

24hYES · $127.8K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current100.0¢

VWAP 24h91.8¢▲ above by 8.2pp

VWAP 7d91.8¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

← now

$87.4K

90¢

$9.0K

85¢

$7.2K

80¢

$23.8K