PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $69.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.4MEvent: Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
54.0¢
Thiago Seyboth Wild
46.0¢
Francesco Ferrari
0.9¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection11Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets56Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution89Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:119 trades$559.2K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 13 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Francesco Ferrari · $7.8K net·4 wallets(1🐋)·$14.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLThiago Seyboth Wild$111.4K@ 53¢·HVAB

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Francesco Ferrari pressure: $59.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$59.1K
6h
+$20.7K
tracked
$559.2K

4 verified profitable wallets: Francesco Ferrari · $7.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.9¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.4pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 13 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Francesco Ferrari or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-15 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Seyboth Wild and Francesco Ferrari in the Genoa, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Seyboth Wild' if Thiago Seyboth Wild advances against Francesco Ferrari. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Ferrari' if Francesco Ferrari advances against Thiago Seyboth Wild. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Francesco Ferrari@ 46.0¢53m ago
15m STALLED +1.5pp
THESIS FLIPBUY Francesco Ferrari@ 46.2¢53m ago
15m STALLED +1.3pp
ANTI CHASESELL Thiago Seyboth Wild56m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASESELL Thiago Seyboth Wild56m ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Thiago Seyboth Wild DOWN 4.2pp · near-book depth $11.8K → $24.0K · 84s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Thiago Seyboth Wild; negative values favor Francesco Ferrari. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFrancesco Ferrari · $59.1K
6hThiago Seyboth Wild · $20.7K
24hThiago Seyboth Wild · $20.7K

Thiago Seyboth Wild price VWAP

Volume-weighted Thiago Seyboth Wild price. Francesco Ferrari fills are converted to the complementary Thiago Seyboth Wild probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current54.0¢
VWAP 24h71.8¢▼ below by 17.7pp
VWAP 7d71.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Thiago Seyboth Wild price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$221.0K
90¢
$11
85¢
$3.6K
80¢
$6.2K
75¢
$132
70¢
$0
65¢
$1.2K
60¢
$12.3K
55¢
$29.9K
50¢
← now
$284.8K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLThiago Seyboth Wild$24.9K@ 51.1¢0xc707…6600🐋—41 minutes ago
BUYThiago Seyboth Wild$16.0K@ 57.0¢0xc707…6600🐋—44 minutes ago
BUYFrancesco Ferrari$22.1K@ 47.9¢0x5bfe…3258🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLThiago Seyboth Wild$10.6K@ 52.2¢0x5fd2…afce🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLThiago Seyboth Wild$36.8K@ 52.4¢0x5bfe…3258🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLThiago Seyboth Wild$111.4K@ 52.7¢
HVAB0x8546…35b8
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYThiago Seyboth Wild$24.7K@ 99.0¢
arman19690xeda6…84c5
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYThiago Seyboth Wild$37.6K@ 99.0¢
HVAB0x8546…35b8
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
100.0¢$2.1Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
60.5¢$1.4Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner
100.0¢$1.1Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$858.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$421.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?
53.5¢$379.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
21.5¢$347.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5bfe…3258Thiago Seyboth Wild$130.3K
BUY VWAP 92.9¢·18 fills
0x5bfe…3258Francesco Ferrari$47.1K
BUY VWAP 46.9¢·10 fills
HVABThiago Seyboth Wild$41.5K
BUY VWAP 98.9¢·3 fills
arman1969Thiago Seyboth Wild$26.0K
BUY VWAP 98.8¢·2 fills
0xc707…6600Thiago Seyboth Wild$18.3K
BUY VWAP 57.1¢·2 fills
0xc707…6600Francesco Ferrari$14.3K
BUY VWAP 49.2¢·4 fills
piagopilvaThiago Seyboth Wild$11.1K
BUY VWAP 97.6¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.