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Cassis: Matisse Bobichon vs Jurij Rodionov

● quote 13s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $117.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $18.1KEvent: Cassis: Matisse Bobichon vs Jurij Rodionov
19.5¢
Matisse Bobichon
80.5¢
Jurij Rodionov
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly1Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 90%
24h sample:6 trades$23.8K tracked17% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 33s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJurij Rodionov$17.4K@ 79¢·0xbc43…96d3

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$5
6h
−$23.8K
tracked
$23.8K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 90% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-15 09:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Matisse Bobichon and Jurij Rodionov in the Cassis, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matisse Bobichon' if Matisse Bobichon advances against Jurij Rodionov. This market will resolve to 'Jurij Rodionov' if Jurij Rodionov advances against Matisse Bobichon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Jurij Rodionov@ 80.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Matisse Bobichon; negative values favor Jurij Rodionov. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMatisse Bobichon · $5
6hJurij Rodionov · $23.8K
24hJurij Rodionov · $23.8K

Matisse Bobichon price VWAP

Volume-weighted Matisse Bobichon price. Jurij Rodionov fills are converted to the complementary Matisse Bobichon probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current19.5¢
VWAP 24h21.6¢▼ below by 2.1pp
VWAP 7d21.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Matisse Bobichon price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$23.8K
15¢
← now
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYJurij Rodionov$17.4K@ 78.9¢0xbc43…96d3🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xbc43…96d3Jurij Rodionov$17.4K
BUY VWAP 78.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.