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Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty

● quote 21s ago
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $152.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $211.7KEvent: Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty
52.5¢
Atlanta Dream
47.5¢
New York Liberty
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly1Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%
24h sample:18 trades$82.9K tracked11% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNew York Liberty$24.4K@ 47¢·0x0c15…9a45

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$37
6h
−$53.2K
tracked
$82.9K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-22 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wnba.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If the Atlanta Dream win, the market will resolve to "Atlanta Dream".

•If the New York Liberty win, the market will resolve to "New York Liberty".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for September 21 at 8:00PM ET: If the Atlanta Dream win, the market will resolve to "Atlanta Dream". If the New York Liberty win, the market will resolve to "New York Liberty". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY New York Liberty@ 48.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY New York Liberty@ 48.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Atlanta Dream; negative values favor New York Liberty. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAtlanta Dream · $37
6hNew York Liberty · $53.2K
24hNew York Liberty · $52.6K

Atlanta Dream price VWAP

Volume-weighted Atlanta Dream price. New York Liberty fills are converted to the complementary Atlanta Dream probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current52.5¢
VWAP 24h52.8¢▼ below by 0.3pp
VWAP 7d52.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Atlanta Dream price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$9.1K
50¢
← now
$73.9K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNew York Liberty$24.4K@ 47.0¢0x0c15…9a45🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYNew York Liberty$21.8K@ 48.9¢
winwin5181680x6820…1c19
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x0c15…9a45New York Liberty$30.4K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·3 fills
winwin518168New York Liberty$21.8K
BUY VWAP 48.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.