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Counter-Strike: Heroic vs K27 (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group A

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $10.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $77.8KEvent: Counter-Strike: Heroic vs K27 (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group A
88.0¢
Heroic
12.0¢
K27
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets34Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution73Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 83%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:61 trades$22.5K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 36s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:K27 · $142 net·5 wallets·$414 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHeroic$16.0K@ 64¢·skyman44

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$104
6h
+$17.5K
tracked
$22.5K

5 verified profitable wallets: K27 · $142 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 83% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +27.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 27.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-10 14:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against K27.

•This market will resolve to "K27" if K27 win the match against Heroic.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Winners match between Heroic and K27 in the Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group A, initially scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against K27. This market will resolve to "K27" if K27 win the match against Heroic. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 24, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 10, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 2h ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Heroic8m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Heroic@ 62.0¢14m ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Heroic UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $395 → $1.1K · 28s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Heroic; negative values favor K27. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hK27 · $104
6hHeroic · $17.5K
24hHeroic · $16.8K

Heroic price VWAP

Volume-weighted Heroic price. K27 fills are converted to the complementary Heroic probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current88.0¢
VWAP 24h63.1¢▲ above by 24.9pp
VWAP 7d63.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Heroic price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
← now
$0
80¢
$149
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$145
60¢
$20.8K
55¢
$846
50¢
$94
45¢
$5
40¢
$184
35¢
$6
30¢
$21
25¢
$72
20¢
$62
15¢
$61
10¢
$0
5¢
$1
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYHeroic$16.0K@ 64.0¢
skyman440x30c7…ac3b
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

skyman44Heroic$16.0K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.