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Cassis: Ugo Blanchet vs Daniel Masur

Sports→Settlement: Daniel MasurLiquidity: $213.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $238.1KEvent: Cassis: Ugo Blanchet vs Daniel Masur
0.0¢
Ugo Blanchet payout
100.0¢
Daniel Masur payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:60 trades$63.9K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 27%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 89 min agoofficial metadata 49 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Daniel Masur · $14.2K net·8 wallets(1🐋)·$37.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDaniel Masur$15.0K@ 40¢·0x78be…bde0

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Daniel Masur. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-18 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ugo Blanchet and Daniel Masur in the Cassis, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ugo Blanchet' if Ugo Blanchet advances against Daniel Masur. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Masur' if Daniel Masur advances against Ugo Blanchet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Ugo Blanchet@ 85.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -22.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Daniel Masur@ 39.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -19.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Ugo Blanchet DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $2.5K → $435 · 14s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ugo Blanchet; negative values favor Daniel Masur. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hUgo Blanchet · $374
6hDaniel Masur · $3.0K
24hDaniel Masur · $3.0K

Ugo Blanchet price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ugo Blanchet price. Daniel Masur fills are converted to the complementary Ugo Blanchet probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h55.1¢▼ below by 55.1pp
VWAP 7d55.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ugo Blanchet price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$14.1K
80¢
$0
75¢
$8.3K
70¢
$0
65¢
$1.5K
60¢
$20.3K
55¢
$27
50¢
$388
45¢
$5
40¢
$257
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$14.8K
10¢
$0
5¢
$2.0K
0¢
← now
$2.2K

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLDaniel Masur$11.8K@ 84.0¢
unknownloser10x5c50…e0c9
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYDaniel Masur$15.0K@ 39.5¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x78be…bde0Daniel Masur$20.0K
BUY VWAP 32.1¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.