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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 29 minutesLiquidity: $36.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $171.7KEvent: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox
36.5¢
Over
63.5¢
Under
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection27Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution74Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:27 trades$73.2K tracked11% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 21 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYUnder$19.6K@ 49¢·SDTrading

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Under pressure: $19.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$19.4K
6h
+$1.2K
tracked
$73.2K

1 verified profitable wallet: Over · $3.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +15.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 21 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 15.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Under or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-10 23:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if the Pittsburgh Pirates and Chicago White Sox combine to score 8 or more runs in this game.

•If the combined total is less than 8, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for September 10 at 7:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Pittsburgh Pirates and Chicago White Sox combine to score 8 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 8, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3dfb…abaf2 linked markets · $42.8K gross
ic4cream2 linked markets · $11.9K gross
0x1262…056f2 linked markets · $450 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Under16m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Under@ 49.0¢46m ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Over@ 51.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Under UP 9.5pp · near-book depth $26 → $20.4K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hUnder · $19.4K
6hOver · $1.2K
24hUnder · $2.0K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current36.5¢
VWAP 24h51.1¢▼ below by 14.6pp
VWAP 7d51.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$73.0K
45¢
$131
40¢
$0
35¢
← now
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYUnder$19.6K@ 49.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYOver$17.7K@ 51.0¢
0x68234mjhgfvj8612543ytjsa6187235v812830x09b5…7e72
🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYUnder$10.6K@ 49.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 6 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

SDTradingUnder$19.6K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·1 fill
0x68234mjhgfvj8612543ytjsa6187235v81283Over$17.7K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill
0x3dfb…abafUnder$10.6K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.