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Istanbul 3: Yanki Erel vs Jay Dylan Friend

Sports→Settlement: Jay Dylan FriendLiquidity: $123.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $107.7KEvent: Istanbul 3: Yanki Erel vs Jay Dylan Friend
0.0¢
Yanki Erel payout
100.0¢
Jay Dylan Friend payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:26 trades$34.6K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 22 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jay Dylan Friend · $12.0K net·4 wallets(1🐋)·$12.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJay Dylan Friend$10.0K@ 35¢·0x78be…bde0

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Jay Dylan Friend. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-18 07:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yanki Erel and Jay Dylan Friend in the Istanbul 3, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yanki Erel' if Yanki Erel advances against Jay Dylan Friend. This market will resolve to 'Jay Dylan Friend' if Jay Dylan Friend advances against Yanki Erel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Jay Dylan Friend DOWN 2.6pp · near-book depth $16.9K → $5.8K · 25s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Yanki Erel; negative values favor Jay Dylan Friend. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYanki Erel · $10.0K
6hYanki Erel · $1.4K
24hYanki Erel · $1.4K

Yanki Erel price VWAP

Volume-weighted Yanki Erel price. Jay Dylan Friend fills are converted to the complementary Yanki Erel probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h38.8¢▼ below by 38.8pp
VWAP 7d38.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Yanki Erel price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$4.3K
65¢
$10.0K
60¢
$0
55¢
$1.0K
50¢
$1.0K
45¢
$1.4K
40¢
$2.4K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$7.1K
5¢
$2.8K
0¢
← now
$4.5K

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYJay Dylan Friend$10.0K@ 34.8¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x78be…bde0Jay Dylan Friend$10.0K
BUY VWAP 34.8¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.