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Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $107.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $397.4KEvent: Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros
94.5¢
Kansas City Royals
5.5¢
Houston Astros
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets16Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority47Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:99 trades$191.8K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Kansas City Royals · $5.1K net·8 wallets·$32.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHouston Astros$98.4K@ 61¢·0x5e94…5ba1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Kansas City Royals pressure: $10.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$10.4K
6h
+$21.6K
tracked
$191.8K

8 verified profitable wallets: Kansas City Royals · $5.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 47

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Kansas City Royals or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-24 00:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Houston Astros, scheduled for September 16 at 8:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Houston Astros@ 61.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h INVALIDATED -56.0pp
Latest book event: Houston Astros DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $3.2K → $3.2K · 26s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Kansas City Royals; negative values favor Houston Astros. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKansas City Royals · $10.4K
6hKansas City Royals · $21.6K
24hHouston Astros · $83.4K

Kansas City Royals price VWAP

Volume-weighted Kansas City Royals price. Houston Astros fills are converted to the complementary Kansas City Royals probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current94.5¢
VWAP 24h43.7¢▲ above by 50.8pp
VWAP 7d43.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Kansas City Royals price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
← now
$4.1K
85¢
$31
80¢
$1.6K
75¢
$1.8K
70¢
$12.8K
65¢
$1.8K
60¢
$5.2K
55¢
$4.7K
50¢
$0
45¢
$1.8K
40¢
$36.2K
35¢
$120.4K
30¢
$1.4K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYHouston Astros$11.1K@ 61.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYHouston Astros$98.4K@ 61.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—about 6 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5e94…5ba1Houston Astros$109.5K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·2 fills
Yellow-FeverKansas City Royals$12.8K
BUY VWAP 45.4¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.