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Guadalajara Open Akron: Kayla Day vs Liudmila Samsonova

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $159.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $446.4KEvent: Guadalajara Open Akron: Kayla Day vs Liudmila Samsonova
52.5¢
Kayla Day
47.4¢
Liudmila Samsonova
4.7¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection21Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets38Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution98Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority59Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 16 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:268 trades$202.2K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 54s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Liudmila Samsonova · $43.4K net·16 wallets(1🐋)·$113.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLiudmila Samsonova$16.0K@ 61¢·RebornAthena

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Liudmila Samsonova pressure: $41.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$41.5K
6h
−$48.3K
tracked
$202.2K

16 verified profitable wallets: Liudmila Samsonova · $43.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
4.7¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 86% · priority 59

Since latest market sweep: -11.8pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Spread is 4.7¢ before size-dependent slippage.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Liudmila Samsonova or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-23 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Kayla Day and Liudmila Samsonova in the Guadalajara Open Akron, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kayla Day' if Kayla Day advances against Liudmila Samsonova. This market will resolve to 'Liudmila Samsonova' if Liudmila Samsonova advances against Kayla Day. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Kayla Day@ 66.7¢11m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Liudmila Samsonova2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Liudmila Samsonova@ 58.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +8.0pp1h CONFIRMED +9.0pp
Latest book event: Kayla Day DOWN 4.7pp · near-book depth $393 → $12.5K · 3s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Kayla Day; negative values favor Liudmila Samsonova. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLiudmila Samsonova · $41.5K
6hLiudmila Samsonova · $48.3K
24hLiudmila Samsonova · $48.3K

Kayla Day price VWAP

Volume-weighted Kayla Day price. Liudmila Samsonova fills are converted to the complementary Kayla Day probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current52.5¢
VWAP 24h41.5¢▲ above by 11.0pp
VWAP 7d41.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Kayla Day price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$301
60¢
$20.4K
55¢
$24.7K
50¢
← now
$30.4K
45¢
$8.7K
40¢
$19.7K
35¢
$38.9K
30¢
$23.5K
25¢
$759
20¢
$17.6K
15¢
$10.3K
10¢
$1.1K
5¢
$4.3K
0¢
$1.8K

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLiudmila Samsonova$13.3K@ 49.8¢
RN10x2005…75ea
🐋—6 minutes ago
BUYLiudmila Samsonova$11.9K@ 45.5¢
RN10x2005…75ea
🐋—7 minutes ago
BUYLiudmila Samsonova$10.4K@ 42.9¢
RN10x2005…75ea
🐋—8 minutes ago
BUYKayla Day$14.1K@ 60.0¢
RN10x2005…75ea
🐋—12 minutes ago
BUYLiudmila Samsonova$16.0K@ 61.0¢
RebornAthena0x081e…f76e
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

RN1Liudmila Samsonova$47.6K
BUY VWAP 45.2¢·9 fills
RN1Kayla Day$18.4K
BUY VWAP 54.4¢·8 fills
RebornAthenaLiudmila Samsonova$16.0K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·1 fill
0xwiseKayla Day$13.4K
BUY VWAP 28.7¢·5 fills
0x2c33…0563Liudmila Samsonova$11.9K
BUY VWAP 61.5¢·2 fills
tradecraftKayla Day$11.8K
BUY VWAP 39.2¢·8 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.