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Cassis: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Moez Echargui

Sports→Settlement: Nicolai Budkov KjaerLiquidity: $175.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $392.6KEvent: Cassis: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Moez Echargui
100.0¢
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer payout
0.0¢
Moez Echargui payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:102 trades$140.5K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 54 min agoofficial metadata 36 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Moez Echargui · $66.0K net·5 wallets(1🐋)·$85.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMoez Echargui$10.0K@ 40¢·0x78be…bde0

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Nicolai Budkov Kjaer. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-18 10:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Moez Echargui in the Cassis, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolai Budkov Kjaer' if Nicolai Budkov Kjaer advances against Moez Echargui. This market will resolve to 'Moez Echargui' if Moez Echargui advances against Nicolai Budkov Kjaer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Moez Echargui@ 93.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -55.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
ACCUMULATIONBUY Moez Echargui@ 93.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -55.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Moez Echargui@ 93.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -55.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Moez Echargui2h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $983 → $17.3K · 9s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Nicolai Budkov Kjaer; negative values favor Moez Echargui. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMoez Echargui · $26.2K
6hMoez Echargui · $85.0K
24hMoez Echargui · $85.0K

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer price VWAP

Volume-weighted Nicolai Budkov Kjaer price. Moez Echargui fills are converted to the complementary Nicolai Budkov Kjaer probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h55.2¢▲ above by 44.8pp
VWAP 7d55.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Nicolai Budkov Kjaer price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$27.1K
90¢
$3.0K
85¢
$259
80¢
$4.6K
75¢
$0
70¢
$110
65¢
$3.0K
60¢
$24.5K
55¢
$13.5K
50¢
$65
45¢
$3.8K
40¢
$0
35¢
$15.5K
30¢
$28.1K
25¢
$2.2K
20¢
$11
15¢
$0
10¢
$4.0K
5¢
$10.7K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMoez Echargui$10.0K@ 67.8¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMoez Echargui$10.0K@ 40.4¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x78be…bde0Moez Echargui$55.7K
BUY VWAP 48.3¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.