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Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Back to Back (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $5.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $97.3KEvent: Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Back to Back (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs
92.5¢
Fluxo W7M
7.5¢
Back to Back
3.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets98Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution58Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 71%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:65 trades$21.9K trackedsource coverage 23%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Back to Back · $11.3K net·3 wallets·$11.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFluxo W7M$5.7K@ 59¢·vibing123

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$585
6h
−$5.1K
tracked
$21.9K

3 verified profitable wallets: Back to Back · $11.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
3.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 71% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-11 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Fluxo W7M" if Fluxo W7M win the match against Back to Back .

•This market will resolve to "Back to Back " if Back to Back win the match against Fluxo W7M.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Quarterfinal 1 match between Fluxo W7M and Back to Back in the PGL Masters Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fluxo W7M" if Fluxo W7M win the match against Back to Back . This market will resolve to "Back to Back " if Back to Back win the match against Fluxo W7M. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 11, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Fluxo W7M UP 4.9pp · near-book depth $1.4K → $1.1K · 11s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Fluxo W7M; negative values favor Back to Back. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFluxo W7M · $585
6hBack to Back · $5.1K
24hBack to Back · $7.8K

Fluxo W7M price VWAP

Volume-weighted Fluxo W7M price. Back to Back fills are converted to the complementary Fluxo W7M probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current92.5¢
VWAP 24h59.8¢▲ above by 32.7pp
VWAP 7d59.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Fluxo W7M price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$365
90¢
← now
$1
85¢
$2
80¢
$53
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$95
60¢
$12.1K
55¢
$7.6K
50¢
$28
45¢
$29
40¢
$7
35¢
$1.6K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x29b5…cc6cBack to Back$11.3K
BUY VWAP 37.8¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.