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Antalya 4: Rositsa Dencheva vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela

● quote 4 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $761.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $437.9KEvent: Antalya 4: Rositsa Dencheva vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela
99.9¢
Rositsa Dencheva
0.1¢
Irene Burillo Escorihuela
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection11Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 15 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:125 trades$159.4K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 13 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Rositsa Dencheva · $183 net·15 wallets(1🐋)·$103.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYIrene Burillo Escorihuela$12.9K@ 83¢·0x076d…8d4c

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Rositsa Dencheva pressure: $17.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$17.3K
6h
−$3.6K
tracked
$159.4K

15 verified profitable wallets: Rositsa Dencheva · $183 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +63.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 13 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 63.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Rositsa Dencheva or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-19 10:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Rositsa Dencheva and Irene Burillo Escorihuela in the Antalya 4, originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rositsa Dencheva' if Rositsa Dencheva advances against Irene Burillo Escorihuela. This market will resolve to 'Irene Burillo Escorihuela' if Irene Burillo Escorihuela advances against Rositsa Dencheva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Irene Burillo Escorihuela1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Irene Burillo Escorihuela@ 37.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +44.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Rositsa Dencheva@ 64.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -46.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Rositsa Dencheva UP 8.5pp · near-book depth $405 → $19.8K · 14s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Rositsa Dencheva; negative values favor Irene Burillo Escorihuela. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRositsa Dencheva · $17.3K
6hIrene Burillo Escorihuela · $3.6K
24hIrene Burillo Escorihuela · $5.7K

Rositsa Dencheva price VWAP

Volume-weighted Rositsa Dencheva price. Irene Burillo Escorihuela fills are converted to the complementary Rositsa Dencheva probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h46.2¢▲ above by 53.7pp
VWAP 7d46.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Rositsa Dencheva price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$11.4K
90¢
$0
85¢
$152
80¢
$1.1K
75¢
$0
70¢
$2.1K
65¢
$5.0K
60¢
$8.7K
55¢
$32.9K
50¢
$17.8K
45¢
$11.3K
40¢
$19.9K
35¢
$84
30¢
$3.4K
25¢
$9.4K
20¢
$4.7K
15¢
$16.0K
10¢
$3.9K
5¢
$11.6K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYIrene Burillo Escorihuela$12.9K@ 83.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

RN1Irene Burillo Escorihuela$30.0K
BUY VWAP 46.5¢·13 fills
RN1Rositsa Dencheva$22.4K
BUY VWAP 49.9¢·13 fills
Gambler661Rositsa Dencheva$17.6K
BUY VWAP 48.4¢·5 fills
0x076d…8d4cIrene Burillo Escorihuela$12.9K
BUY VWAP 83.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.