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Spread: Miami (FL) (-20.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 9 hoursLiquidity: $175.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $5.1KEvent: Miami (FL) vs. Wake Forest
51.0¢
Miami (FL)
49.0¢
Wake Forest
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection73Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution86Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority62Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 90%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:4 trades$20.6K tracked25% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 11 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYWake Forest$17.0K@ 50¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Wake Forest pressure: $14.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$14.3K
6h
−$14.3K
tracked
$20.6K

1 verified profitable wallet: Wake Forest · $17.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 90% · priority 62

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 11 minutes old.
  • •Less than 8h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Wake Forest or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-18 23:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Miami (FL)" if Miami (FL) win the game by 21 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Wake Forest".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 18 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami (FL)" if Miami (FL) win the game by 21 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Wake Forest". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Miami (FL); negative values favor Wake Forest. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hWake Forest · $14.3K
6hWake Forest · $14.3K
24hWake Forest · $14.3K

Miami (FL) price VWAP

Volume-weighted Miami (FL) price. Wake Forest fills are converted to the complementary Miami (FL) probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current51.0¢
VWAP 24h50.1¢▲ above by 0.9pp
VWAP 7d50.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Miami (FL) price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$20.6K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYWake Forest$17.0K@ 50.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Wake Forest$17.0K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.