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Miami (FL) vs. Wake Forest

● quote 43s ago
Sports→Closes: about 9 hoursLiquidity: $218.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $673Event: Miami (FL) vs. Wake Forest
92.5¢
Miami (FL)
7.5¢
Wake Forest
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 90%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:2 trades$21.2K tracked50% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 16 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMiami (FL)$20.0K@ 93¢·coinlaundry

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Wake Forest pressure: $1.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.2K
6h
−$1.2K
tracked
$21.2K

1 verified profitable wallet: Wake Forest · $1.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 90% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Only 2 tracked trades / 2 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Less than 9h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Wake Forest or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-18 23:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Miami (FL)" if Miami (FL) win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Wake Forest" if Wake Forest win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Miami (FL) and Wake Forest, scheduled for September 18 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami (FL)" if Miami (FL) win the game. This market will resolve to "Wake Forest" if Wake Forest win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Miami (FL); negative values favor Wake Forest. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hWake Forest · $1.2K
6hWake Forest · $1.2K
24hMiami (FL) · $18.8K

Miami (FL) price VWAP

Volume-weighted Miami (FL) price. Wake Forest fills are converted to the complementary Miami (FL) probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current92.5¢
VWAP 24h93.0¢▼ below by 0.4pp
VWAP 7d93.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Miami (FL) price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
← now
$21.2K
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMiami (FL)$20.0K@ 93.0¢
coinlaundry0xe8d7…1252
🐋—about 7 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

coinlaundryMiami (FL)$20.0K
BUY VWAP 93.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.