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Alexander Zverev vs. Ben Shelton: Total Sets O/U 3.5

Sports→Settlement: Over 3.5Liquidity: $198.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $98.4KEvent: US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton
100.0¢
Over 3.5 payout
0.0¢
Under 3.5 payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:33 trades$58.7K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 60%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 60 min agoofficial metadata 34 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLOver 3.5$13.9K@ 100¢·0x86f6…8993

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Over 3.5. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-20 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 4, and to "Under" otherwise. A set counts as played once it has begun, even if it is not played to completion. A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Ben Shelton in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 4, and to "Under" otherwise. A set counts as played once it has begun, even if it is not played to completion. A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If a player retires, withdraws, is defaulted, or is disqualified, or the match otherwise begins but is not completed, this market will resolve based on any outcome that was already unequivocally determined at the time play stopped. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the match been played to completion using the minimum number of additional sets required. For example, for a line of 2.5, if play stops with the players at one set each, completing the match would have required at least one additional set, resulting in at least 3 sets played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. If neither outcome was already determined at the time play stopped, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or has not been completed by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless an outcome was already unequivocally determined as described above. The primary resolution source for this market will be official Grand Slam statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
neutralwave232 linked markets · $29.8K gross
zzqq352 linked markets · $4.0K gross
Troopnet332 linked markets · $4.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Over 3.5 UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $70 → $65 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over 3.5; negative values favor Under 3.5. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hUnder 3.5 · $15.7K
6hOver 3.5 · $16.2K
24hOver 3.5 · $18.5K

Over 3.5 price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over 3.5 price. Under 3.5 fills are converted to the complementary Over 3.5 probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h81.0¢▲ above by 19.1pp
VWAP 7d80.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Over 3.5 price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$20.9K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$40.2K
65¢
$4
60¢
$10
55¢
$68
50¢
$7
45¢
$53
40¢
$96
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLOver 3.5$13.9K@ 99.9¢0x86f6…8993🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.